Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrius Ward | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -9.9 |
| Toby Nnadozie * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -21.2 |
| Cam. Brown * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -9.0 |
| C. Sparrrow * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Peter Oduro * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -5.0 |
| Julius Ellerbe | 31 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | -18.5 |
| Jonathan Dunn | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | -26.3 |
| Zahree Harrison | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -18.8 |
| Darius Leonard | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks * | 28 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +20.7 |
| Bryce Johnson * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 5-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +25.1 |
| Josh Odunowo * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | +12.9 |
| Louie Jordan * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Marlon Short * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +4.7 |
| Ace Valentine | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | +20.6 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +16.1 |
| Devan Sapp | 15 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +6.3 |
| JC Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Tim Eze | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Chaydon Stone | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.1 |
| Ashton Reese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Torin Bosch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Alpha Chibambe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
* = starter