Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.4% | 2.6% | -19.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -35 (53-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 33 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | +19.2 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 25 | +10.2 |
| Tru Washington | 24 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -6.9 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 20 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +8.2 |
| C.J. Noland | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +25.5 |
| Braden Appelhans | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.9 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +8.2 |
| Kayde Dotson | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Quinton Webb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0.1 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | -21.5 |
| Kyle Marshall | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -13.6 |
| Luke Kearney | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -13.3 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 22 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Yoda Oke | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Beau Becker | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Caleb Walker | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -5.4 |
| Byron Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| A.J. Patterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Sam Springer | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Sam Duskin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Will Cooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter