Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.5% | 7.5% | -13.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Foster | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Nick Davidson | 29 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | +8.3 |
| Tyler Rolison | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Kobe Sanders | 27 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | -4.6 |
| Xavier DuSell | 23 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Justin McBride | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Brandon Love | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +10.8 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.7 |
| K.J. Hymes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 39 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Kyle Marshall | 38 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Luke Kearney | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +5.5 |
| Byron Brown | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Caleb Walker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11.9 |
| Yoda Oke | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Sam Springer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter