Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 38 | 5-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Kyle Marshall | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -5.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Caleb Walker | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 19 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Yoda Oke | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Byron Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Sam Springer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Beau Becker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yap | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +7.8 |
| Josh Uduje | 31 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Will McClendon | 31 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Robert Vaihola | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | +4.8 |
| Latrell Davis | 25 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +12.1 |
| Sadaidriene Hall | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Jermaine Washington | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +6.0 |
| Chol Marial | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +4.2 |
* = starter