Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +24.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kearney | 37 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Ethan Taylor | 36 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | -9.9 |
| Kyle Marshall | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 30 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Yoda Oke | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Caleb Walker | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | -1.4 |
| Sam Springer | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Beau Becker | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -6.0 |
| Byron Brown | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.7 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 34 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | +8.6 |
| Jalen Lake | 32 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +11.1 |
| Kyan. Evans | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +13.3 |
| Ethan Morton | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 16 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Bowen Born | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5.6 |
| Keshawn Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Nikola Djapa | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +12.7 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter