Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 38 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | -1.3 |
| Kyle Marshall | 36 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | -5.0 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 29 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +9.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Byron Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.8 |
| Caleb Walker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.6 |
| Will Cooper | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Sam Springer | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3.6 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Coleman | 35 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Daniel Foster | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Kobe Sanders | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +19.1 |
| Justin McBride | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +2.3 |
| K.J. Hymes | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Xavier DuSell | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Brandon Love | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Tyler Rolison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
* = starter