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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 71.6% 28.4% - ✓
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 72.1% 27.9% - ✓
Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Yap 31 4-15 1-4 4-4 6 5 1 0 0 13 10 +2.4
Josh Uduje 29 6-10 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 15 6 +12.7
Will McClendon 29 6-11 5-8 3-4 2 3 4 0 3 20 15 +2.1
Sadaidriene Hall 28 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 8 12 +9.4
Robert Vaihola 24 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 3 7 5 -7.0
Latrell Davis 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -1.9
Jermaine Washington 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 +0.5
Chol Marial 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 2 10 -7.4
S. Vasquez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
Pasha Goodarzi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Taylor 37 6-16 4-10 0-0 2 6 3 1 3 16 9 -4.9
Kyle Marshall 30 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 2 6 10 +2.3
Jeffrey Mills 30 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 5 6 -3.9
Luke Kearney 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -12.0
Wesley Celichowski 18 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 7 3 -1.9
Sam Springer 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 +2.0
Beau Becker 13 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 9 6 +6.4
Byron Brown 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 5 -5.0
Will Cooper 12 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 +9.0
Caleb Walker 9 1-3 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 -6.2

* = starter