Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Wills | 40 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Matija Belic | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Jordan Nesbitt | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Cole Henry | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +11.2 |
| Kobe Newton | 26 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -11.0 |
| Dontaie Allen | 22 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -7.2 |
| Touko Tainamo | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Abou Magassa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Oleg Kojenets | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 32 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Luke Kearney | 30 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +13.9 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 23 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +21.2 |
| Kyle Marshall | 21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Sam Springer | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -15.7 |
| Byron Brown | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Sam Duskin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Caleb Walker | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Beau Becker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -9.4 |
* = starter