Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -19 (58-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Jalen Hill | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | +13.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Julian Rishwain | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +16.6 |
| Jailen Bedford | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Jaden Henley | 22 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +12.7 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.6 |
| DeMarion Yap | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 33 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -12.4 |
| Kyle Marshall | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -12.8 |
| Luke Kearney | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Byron Brown | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Sam Springer | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Caleb Walker | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Beau Becker | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Will Cooper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +4.6 |
| Sam Duskin | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.4 |
| A.J. Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Yoda Oke | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter