Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 35 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8.7 |
| Kyle Marshall | 35 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Luke Kearney | 28 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | -4.9 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Sam Springer | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -9.7 |
| Caleb Walker | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Will Cooper | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Byron Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.9 |
| A.J. Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +13.9 |
| Andrew Meadow | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 32 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +15.5 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Javan Buchanan | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +0.7 |
| RJ Keene | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Chris Lockett | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Dylan Anderson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
* = starter