Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin O'Connor | 37 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -12.5 |
| CJ Luster II | 34 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 10-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 9 | -11.9 |
| Ben Wight | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Joe Octave | 31 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1 | -9.3 |
| Andre Snoddy | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Jared Frey | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.7 |
| Sabry Philip | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Leon Nahar | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Nick Woodard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Marshall | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +15.8 |
| Ethan Taylor | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | +9.1 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 32 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +18.1 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Luke Kearney | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +6.5 |
| Byron Brown | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Caleb Walker | 15 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Will Cooper | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Sam Springer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Sam Duskin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
* = starter