Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | -12.3 |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -19.0 |
| Byron Brown * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -10.1 |
| Wesley Celichowski * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Sam Duskin * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kearney | 37 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -9.6 |
| Will Cooper | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +10.7 |
| Caleb Walker | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Kyle Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Norris * | 36 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | +15.9 |
| Alex Huibregtse * | 36 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +9.6 |
| Brandon Noel * | 27 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Logan Woods * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jack Doumbia * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +11.2 |
| Solomon Callaghan | 28 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Michael Imariagbe | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +2.5 |
| Andrew Welage | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Drey Carter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Ayden Davis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter