Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Walker * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | +0.6 |
| Carter Whitt * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Brody Peebles * | 28 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Sam Orme * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Brigham Rogers * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Jake Dykstra | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Aidan Noyes | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Win Miller | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | -3.8 |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Byron Brown * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Sam Duskin * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Wesley Celichowski * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Caleb Walker | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Kyle Marshall | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Luke Kearney | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -5.1 |
* = starter