Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State York Nittany Lions | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -19.5 | ✗ (48.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +29 (95-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State York Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mcclean * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -22.6 |
| Q. Wells * | 31 | 8-22 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | -29.8 |
| L. Abdeta * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -26.2 |
| Z. White * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -24.2 |
| S. Thomas * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| C. Warren | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -19.6 |
| A. Campbell | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.5 |
| J. Barlow | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -16.9 |
| K. Carroll | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.4 |
| J. Weishar | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1.0 |
| L. Kottinger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| B. Stein | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Fonticoba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | +14.6 |
| Bryce Johnson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +29.6 |
| M. Banks Jr. * | 22 | 10-16 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | +21.9 |
| Louie Jordan * | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +20.3 |
| Josh Odunowo * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +14.0 |
| Marlon Short | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +10.9 |
| Tim Eze | 19 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +15.3 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +19.4 |
| JC Harris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Torin Bosch | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Ashton Reese | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Alpha Chibambe | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Isaac Varghese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter