Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Johnson | 41 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | -7.7 |
| Ace Valentine | 39 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Josh Odunowo | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -3.4 |
| M. Banks Jr. | 33 | 5-19 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Marlon Short | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Devan Sapp | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Louie Jordan | 17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| JC Harris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 38 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 34 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| Elijah Lewis | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jason Schofield | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +7.2 |
| Jackson Price | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Travis Roberts | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Trace Salton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Tarik Watson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Parby Kabamba | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter