Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | ✗ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Towson Tigers -13 (71-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 35 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +14.8 |
| Bryce Johnson | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +24.0 |
| Louie Jordan | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | +14.1 |
| M. Banks Jr. | 31 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | +12.2 |
| Josh Odunowo | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +14.2 |
| Devan Sapp | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Marlon Short | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.7 |
| JC Harris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | 32 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -14.3 |
| Tyler Tejada | 32 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | -13.2 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -9.8 |
| Christian May | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nendah Tarke | 25 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Messiah Jones | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Abdou Samb | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Caleb Embeya | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.1 |
* = starter