Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Bleechmore * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +11.1 |
| J. Bergens * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Braden Sparks * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Peyton Smith * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +1.2 |
| P. Johnson * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Michael Rogan | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Deon Perry | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | +7.1 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Noah Best | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -1.0 |
| B. Seck | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.1 |
| M. Riek | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Woodyard * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Anthony McComb III * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Dylan Saunders * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Sami Pissis * | 24 | 1-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Emmanuel Okpomo * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Davide Poser | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Rex Sunderland | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Caleb Middleton | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Antoni Siewruk | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Jon O'Neill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khalil Badru | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter