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2024-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Duquesne Dukes -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clayton 36 2-6 1-1 2-2 4 3 4 0 3 7 9 +3.6
A.J. Lopez 35 7-11 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 17 10 +6.4
K. Tynes 33 2-11 0-1 8-8 4 0 4 1 1 12 9 +6.4
Q. Burns 28 5-8 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 10 8 +1.9
K. Gribben 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 1 4 5 +8.6
C. Mantis 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 6 2 -11.5
R. Tutic 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -1.3
C. Crawford 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.0
K. Steele 8 1-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 +5.7
N. Perovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rozier 34 3-12 3-8 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 9 4 -1.7
T. Dinkins 31 4-8 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 12 7 -3.6
J. Corbett 31 4-13 0-1 2-8 10 1 0 0 1 10 7 -3.4
M. Hronsky 24 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 2 -2.0
C. Crawford 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Dixon 16 1-3 0-0 1-1 6 1 2 2 1 3 10 -3.4
H. Barre 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 4 0 0 +0.3
J. Necas 14 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 7 8 -0.7
M. Edwards 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -1.8
E. Wilborn 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 5 +2.1

* = starter