Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Tynes * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | +12.5 |
| Jaden Clayton * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +8.8 |
| Quion Burns * | 34 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +13.0 |
| A.J. Lopez * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Keelan Steele * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Killian Gribben | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +17.9 |
| Christopher Mantis | 18 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Logan Carey | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +11.8 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dorn * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -10.9 |
| TK Simpkins * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | -15.5 |
| Sam Sherry * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | +4.1 |
| D. King * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Matthew Van Komen * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Isaac Harrell | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12.2 |
| TJ Simpkins | 25 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brayden Crump | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Jameel Rideout | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Kendall Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
* = starter