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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 75.1% 24.9% - โœ—
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 โœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 73.6% 26.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Clayton 36 5-8 3-5 2-3 1 4 3 0 2 15 13 -4.4
Kellen Tynes 36 6-10 1-2 2-2 4 4 4 2 3 15 16 -3.6
A.J. Lopez 33 3-8 3-7 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 13 11 +5.5
Quion Burns 26 3-12 2-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 8 3 +5.3
Christopher Mantis 24 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 7 -8.5
Keelan Steele 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 +2.0
Killian Gribben 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -1.7
Ridvan Tutic 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 3 7 -10.6
Logan Carey 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Novak Perovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Caleb Crawford 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -3.0

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin O'Connor 34 2-5 0-0 4-4 1 4 1 0 3 8 6 -0.8
Ben Wight 33 4-7 0-0 3-3 3 4 1 1 2 11 11 +5.3
Andre Snoddy 32 2-4 0-1 0-0 11 0 2 0 0 4 13 +1.3
Joe Octave 31 7-16 3-5 7-8 5 1 0 0 0 24 14 +5.4
CJ Luster II 30 3-8 2-5 3-3 3 0 1 0 0 11 7 +2.9
Jared Frey 19 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 3 2 0 3 4 6 +8.2
Nick Woodard 10 4-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 9 7 +1.1
Sabry Philip 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -0.8
Leon Nahar 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +0.3

* = starter