Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -15 (50-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeshun Ruffin | 34 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +20.2 |
| Romelle Mansel | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Dorian McMillian | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Keiveon Hunt | 25 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.3 |
| Shannon Grant | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +18.0 |
| Dylan Canoville | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +11.4 |
| Jayme Mitchell | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +8.9 |
| Marcus Watson Jr. | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| J. Reyna III | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Delyle Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Cowandric Samuel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan Burnett | 36 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | -14.7 |
| P.J. Eason | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -12.7 |
| Kintavious Dozier | 32 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13.3 |
| Ernest Ross | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Chilaydrien Newton | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -8.6 |
| Emareyon McDonald | 11 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7.8 |
| James Flippin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| PJ Edwards | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| E. Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Dupree Fletcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Elvis Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter