Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarr Knox | 36 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | -8.4 |
| CJ Hines | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Micah Octave | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -8.2 |
| TJ Madlock | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Micah Simpson | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Ubong Okon | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Jasteven Walker | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +3.8 |
| J. Kaego | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D'Ante Bass | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Tyler Mack | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.0 |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian McMillian | 39 | 7-12 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | +8.4 |
| Romelle Mansel | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +7.8 |
| Daeshun Ruffin | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Dylan Canoville | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -2.4 |
| Tamarion Hoover | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +14.6 |
| Shannon Grant | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +9.3 |
| Keiveon Hunt | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Delyle Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Jayme Mitchell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Marcus Watson Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.2 |
| J. Reyna III | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter