Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian McMillian | 30 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | -4.6 |
| Jayme Mitchell | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Daeshun Ruffin | 27 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Romelle Mansel | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -13.5 |
| Keiveon Hunt | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Tamarion Hoover | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Marcus Watson Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Dylan Canoville | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +11.4 |
| J. Reyna III | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Ebo Wilson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Shannon Grant | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -1.7 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 34 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 15-18 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Javonté Johnson | 29 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | +5.8 |
| Martel Williams | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +4.4 |
| Sam Silverstein | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Kendal Coleman | 25 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | +4.4 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.7 |
| AJ Braun | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Adam Moussa | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Bradey Henige | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.7 |
* = starter