Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romelle Mansel | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | +1.2 |
| Shannon Grant | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -3.1 |
| Jayme Mitchell | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Daeshun Ruffin | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Keiveon Hunt | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +0.1 |
| J. Reyna III | 22 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Dorian McMillian | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Ebo Wilson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Tamarion Hoover | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.9 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taryn Todd | 33 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Avery Felts | 32 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -4.4 |
| Kobe Julien | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | -10.7 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +13.1 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Joseph Pinion | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Cody Head | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -11.6 |
| Derrian Ford | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Justin Johnson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Kameron Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter