Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Florida A&M Rattlers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida A&M Rattlers -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Madlock | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| CJ Hines | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Amarr Knox | 34 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Micah Octave | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +17.4 |
| Jasteven Walker | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Micah Simpson | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -19.3 |
| D'Ante Bass | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +16.9 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Matthews | 40 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Roderick Coffee III | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Sterling Young | 32 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | -6.4 |
| Jordan Chatman | 30 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Ja'Derryus Eatmon | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Kaleb Washington | 25 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Jamine Charles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Miles Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter