Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -14 (66-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | +15.8 |
| Shaquil Bender | 38 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +19.9 |
| Will Sydnor | 25 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +7.9 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +22.3 |
| Wesley Robinson | 24 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | +12.2 |
| Devin Dinkins | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +13.6 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Michael Lawlor | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.8 |
| John Berbano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Jackson Delaney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Aryan Arora | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Daniel Hackett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Ezquerra | 36 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -15.7 |
| Tyje Kelton | 33 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -2.6 |
| Ja'Kair Sanchez | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Keyontae Lewis | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Zaire Williams | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.6 |
| Zavier Fitch | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Di'Andre Howell-South | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.4 |
| Zae Blake | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -0.4 |
| R.J. Greene | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -7.7 |
* = starter