Model Predictions
| Model | West Georgia Wolves | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | +16.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +21 (86-65). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
West Georgia Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 23 | -18.9 |
| Kolten Griffin * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | -15.5 |
| Kyric Davis * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -9.4 |
| Demetrus Johnson II * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Michael Griffin * | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Rickey Ballard | 33 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -17.4 |
| Malcolm Noel | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Tauris Watson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Tamaury Releford | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Brady Hardewig | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +21.1 |
| Collin Holloway * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Trey Fort * | 21 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | +11.6 |
| Jaden Brownell * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Isaiah West * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Josh Holloway | 27 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +17.5 |
| Larry Olayinka | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Riley Allenspach | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Julian Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brody Boyer | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter