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2025-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“

Actual: Stetson Hatters +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Billy Smith 39 5-15 5-11 0-0 3 5 3 0 3 15 8 -6.1
Tyler Doyle 31 2-5 0-1 6-6 5 2 3 1 3 10 13 +2.2
Myles Watkins 28 4-11 1-3 1-2 3 3 1 1 1 10 6 -5.8
AJ Lux 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 3 5 +1.3
Landin Hacker 20 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 -13.6
Jack Karasinski 20 4-8 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 10 2 -3.7
Curt Hopf 19 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 2 0 1 4 5 -4.4
Grant Whitaker 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 -0.3
Dezmond McKinney 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -5.3

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamie Phillips Jr. 36 7-12 1-3 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 17 10 +7.0
Blaize Sagna 35 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 2 3 0 1 11 11 +9.0
Jordan Wood 31 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 1 2 5 6 +13.8
Mehki Ellison 26 3-8 2-5 6-7 3 3 1 0 4 14 9 -2.2
Josh Massey 25 4-5 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 12 12 +8.1
Finley Sheridan 25 4-6 1-3 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 10 10 -3.5
Tristan Gross 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 +0.3
Treyton Thompson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.0

* = starter