Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Rickey Bradley * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +10.4 |
| Kaden Stuckey * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +11.1 |
| Cal Liston | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Robert Peters | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Walker Andrews | 9 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +0.8 |
| AJ Clark | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Jack Karasinski * | 28 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | -17.2 |
| Billy Smith * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -4.2 |
| Dezmond McKinney * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Curt Hopf * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Kenyon Goodin | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Dylan Branson | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 | +5.8 |
| Landin Hacker | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Tyler Doyle | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Myles Watkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter