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2024-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gulf Coast Eagles UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 ✓ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - ✓
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - ✓

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dallion Johnson * 38 6-16 3-11 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 4 -4.7
Rahmir Barno * 35 1-5 0-2 2-2 9 6 0 0 2 4 12 -11.1
Jevin Muniz * 34 3-9 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 9 6 -11.2
Keeshawn Kellman * 25 6-8 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 15 11 +6.3
Michael Duax * 23 2-5 0-1 3-5 5 0 1 0 1 7 7 -13.9
Rory Stewart 23 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 -8.2
Zavian McLean 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.6
Darren Williams 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -8.2

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Atwell * 30 4-12 4-8 5-6 3 2 1 0 1 17 10 +10.0
Jalen Breath * 29 3-7 0-0 5-5 10 0 0 0 0 11 14 +10.5
Joryam Saizonou * 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 5 1 +4.1
Ronald Polite III * 26 4-7 0-1 2-3 3 3 1 0 0 10 10 +13.6
Miles Jones * 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 4 +12.1
Kenyon Giles 23 5-14 5-11 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 17 5 +4.4
Demetrius Davis 16 2-6 1-3 1-2 9 2 0 0 1 6 10 -1.0
Akrum Ahemed 12 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 5 +6.3
Malik Henry 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -3.7
Domas Kauzonas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1
Mason So 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter