Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Billy Smith | 31 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Jack Karasinski | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Doyle | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -6.5 |
| Curt Hopf | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Dezmond McKinney | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -4.3 |
| Landin Hacker | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Kenyon Goodin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| AJ Lux | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Grant Whitaker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Myles Watkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Evbagharu | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | +6.8 |
| Layne Taylor | 34 | 8-19 | 5-14 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Elias Cato | 29 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Cole McCormick | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +15.7 |
| Ben Fox | 28 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +20.4 |
| Diogo Seixas | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Ethan Thomas | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
* = starter