Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.6% | 20.4% | -7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| BJ Ward * | 30 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Tedrick Washington * | 29 | 7-20 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Terry * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +11.6 |
| Elliot Lowndes * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Damarion Walkup | 29 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +4.0 |
| TJ Biel | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| David Idada | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Marqueas Bell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7.2 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor * | 42 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Brayden Fagbemi * | 41 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +3.6 |
| Elias Cato * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +7.2 |
| Ben Fox * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| U. Etim * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Michael Evbagharu | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Cole McCormick | 28 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -10.6 |
| Jabari West | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Diogo Seixas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Ethan Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter