Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor | 37 | 3-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Michael Evbagharu | 32 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -16.8 |
| Elias Cato | 31 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Cole McCormick | 26 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -15.9 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -15.3 |
| Ben Fox | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Diogo Seixas | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Jabari West | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Ethan Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehki Ellison | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 10 | +14.0 |
| Abramo Canka | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Jamie Phillips Jr. | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +13.8 |
| Josh Massey | 29 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Jordan Wood | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +18.3 |
| Blaize Sagna | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Finley Sheridan | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Treyton Thompson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Stefano Alesso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter