Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +5.5 |
| Ali Dibba | 30 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 27 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +13.7 |
| Drew Steffe | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Davion Sykes | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +12.2 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Antwaun Massey | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Jorge Moreno | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.8 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Haney | 32 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Quan Lax | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Sai Witt | 29 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | -8.2 |
| Akili Evans | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Anton Brookshire | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Tate McCubbin | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Darius Dawson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Javar Daniel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Me'Kell Burries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter