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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LJ Thomas 37 6-17 0-4 8-11 4 3 1 0 2 20 9 -25.1
Tate McCubbin 30 3-8 2-4 2-2 6 0 2 0 2 10 8 -19.7
Sai Witt 26 3-9 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 1 0 7 7 -22.4
Terrell Gaines 26 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 4 2 +0.4
Isaac Haney 20 1-3 0-2 2-3 2 0 1 0 3 4 1 -7.2
Tekao Carpenter 17 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -22.5
Daniel Loos 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 4 1 -18.3
Quan Lax 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 0 -8.3
Akili Evans 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.7
Anton Brookshire 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +1.1
Darius Dawson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 +0.9
Javar Daniel 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MJ Collins 24 3-5 2-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 9 8 +25.1
A.J. Hoggard 24 3-3 3-3 0-1 4 2 0 0 4 9 8 +29.7
Chris Manon 22 3-3 0-0 2-2 8 1 3 3 1 8 19 +22.1
Jaylen Carey 22 4-6 0-0 1-1 7 4 0 1 2 9 13 +19.8
Jason Edwards 21 5-8 1-3 5-8 2 0 1 0 2 16 9 +33.8
Tyler Tanner 20 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 5 1 0 0 6 12 +14.8
Devin McGlockton 19 4-7 1-3 2-4 9 1 1 2 3 11 14 +0.3
Tyler Nickel 18 3-8 1-5 5-5 0 1 1 0 1 12 5 -1.7
Grant Huffman 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 2 -5.1
J. Roberts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Jordan Williams 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -1.0
Coleson Messer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Miles Keeffe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0
Hollman Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Graham Calton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter