Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +25 (72-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akili Evans | 35 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -23.9 |
| LJ Thomas | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -23.3 |
| Quan Lax | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -16.6 |
| Anton Brookshire | 30 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -20.4 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 23 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -20.6 |
| Darius Dawson | 15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Javar Daniel | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -6.9 |
| Tate McCubbin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Daniel Loos | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Me'Kell Burries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terrell Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Walls | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +20.8 |
| Collin Holloway | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Isaiah West | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Josh Holloway | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 19 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Trey Fort | 17 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Jaden Brownell | 16 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | +11.8 |
| Julian Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Zion Wilburn | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter