Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Haney * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | -5.0 |
| Quan Lax * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -8.1 |
| LJ Thomas * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 7 | -4.9 |
| Javar Daniel * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +4.9 |
| Hansel Enmanuel * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +15.9 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -17.1 |
| Darius Dawson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Anton Brookshire | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Me'Kell Burries | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dieonte Miles * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Kenny White Jr. * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -3.7 |
| Jalen Breazeale * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Kade Ruegsegger * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +13.3 |
| Tyler Brelsford * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Jerone Morton | 25 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -5.9 |
| George Marshall | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Trent Scott | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +12.0 |
| Jaden Webb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter