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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Log Adjusted 65.3% 34.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Morehead State Eagles +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Haney * 37 5-12 4-7 6-8 3 2 0 0 1 20 12 -5.0
LJ Thomas * 36 10-19 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 5 22 7 -4.9
Q. Lax * 36 1-6 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 4 6 -8.1
J. Daniel * 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 1 0 8 15 +4.9
H. Enmanuel * 28 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 2 6 +15.9
T. Carpenter 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -17.1
D. Dawson 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 1 2 1 -3.2
A. Brookshire 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
M. Burries 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Miles * 35 5-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 2 0 13 11 +5.2
K. White Jr. * 31 8-13 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 1 2 18 15 -3.7
J. Breazeale * 27 2-4 0-1 7-10 2 2 1 0 1 11 11 +1.1
K. Ruegsegger * 26 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 +13.3
T. Brelsford * 22 1-5 0-1 0-3 4 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -0.1
J. Morton 25 5-8 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 1 1 11 12 -5.9
G. Marshall 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 +2.1
T. Scott 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 +12.0
J. Webb 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

* = starter