Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daemar Kelly | 43 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Riley Parker | 42 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -0.0 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 40 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Valentino Pinedo | 39 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -3.0 |
| Chris Moncrief | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 22 | 1-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | -3.0 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Aidan Harris | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Victor Payne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaire Williams | 42 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Javier Ezquerra | 41 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Keyontae Lewis | 40 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | +3.0 |
| Ja'Kair Sanchez | 36 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Zavier Fitch | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Tyje Kelton | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Zae Blake | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.0 |
| R.J. Greene | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Di'Andre Howell-South | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter