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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Robert Morris Colonials Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“

Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Riley Parker 35 8-13 5-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 21 10 -10.3
Juan Cranford Jr. 29 7-9 5-7 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 19 18 -0.7
Jeremy Clayville 27 2-9 2-6 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -7 -11.8
Bobby Rosenberger 26 4-9 0-2 3-4 3 3 0 1 2 11 7 -9.8
Daemar Kelly 24 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 1 0 4 9 -3.4
Valentino Pinedo 24 5-7 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 1 2 14 12 -14.2
Miles Webb 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 0 3 +7.4
Aidan Harris 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 -3.0
Victor Payne 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -4.7
Chris Moncrief 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -1.3

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kam Woods 35 7-16 2-6 3-7 3 7 3 0 3 19 13 +14.9
Alvaro Folgueiras 33 9-14 1-3 8-10 16 4 4 3 1 27 39 +10.3
Josh Omojafo 31 4-6 0-0 4-4 2 2 2 0 5 12 7 +2.5
Amarion Dickerson 27 5-8 1-2 5-7 6 1 0 3 3 16 15 +8.9
Ryan Prather Jr. 22 3-6 1-4 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 9 4 -1.5
DJ Smith 22 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 2 +6.3
Chris Ford 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 +7.7
Dilen Miller 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +6.5
Ismael Plet 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.5

* = starter