Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daemar Kelly | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Riley Parker | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 29 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Miles Webb | 28 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | -2.8 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 27 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -7.8 |
| Chris Moncrief | 13 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Aidan Harris | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Victor Payne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 33 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Jahari Williamson | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -8.1 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Justice Smith | 26 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Zion Russell | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +8.0 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Will Shortt | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +9.9 |
* = starter