Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Talbert * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Bobby Rosenberger * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Daemar Kelly * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Valentino Pinedo * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -6.1 |
| Riley Parker * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Miles Webb | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Chris Moncrief | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Aidan Harris | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -2.1 |
| Dola Adebayo * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -1.0 |
| Dallas Hobbs * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | +15.0 |
| Carmelo Pacheco * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +18.0 |
| Javon Ervin | 16 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -1.0 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter