Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Lamar Wilkerson * | 31 | 9-23 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Marcus Boykin * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Cameron Huefner * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Kalifa Sakho * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Kian Scroggins | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Josiah Hammons | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Brennen Burns | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Jaxson Ford | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Threadgill * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Myles Tate * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Dior Conners * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | -0.7 |
| Jalil Beaubrun * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -1.9 |
| CJ Huntley * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Luke Wilson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
* = starter