Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | UAlbany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UAlbany Great Danes -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +3.0 |
| Matt Mayock * | 28 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Matt Rogers * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.2 |
| Colin Smalls * | 26 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | +14.3 |
| Greg Jones * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Lincoln Ball | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -7.1 |
| Eric Michaels | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.2 |
| Julen Iturbe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +1.8 |
| Alex Daniels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Joshua * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Kacper Klaczek * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Amar'e Marshall * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -10.3 |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -12.1 |
| Sultan Adewale * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Justin Neely | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +8.0 |
| Aaron Reddish | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | +13.4 |
| Kheni Briggs | 20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Zach Matulu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
* = starter