Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Elijah Stephens | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Lincoln Ball | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Colin Smalls | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Matt Rogers | 22 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +6.2 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 13 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Eric Michaels | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Mason Whittaker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.1 |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 32 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Chandler Baker | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Jeff Woodward | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Jalen Cox | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Parker Jones | 26 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Julian Scott | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Sam Wright | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Josh Ahayere | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Brady Cummins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
* = starter