Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pennick | 37 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Austin Benigni | 32 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Mike Woods | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Aidan Kehoe | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -12.1 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Donovan Draper | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.6 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.1 |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +7.1 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Jeff Woodward | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | +1.5 |
| Brady Cummins | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Chandler Baker | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Julian Scott | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Sam Wright | 10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Parker Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
* = starter