Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Army Black Knights +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Ball | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | -2.7 |
| Elijah Stephens | 31 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -14.1 |
| Colin Smalls | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Matt Rogers | 29 | 9-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Greg Jones | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -11.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Mason Whittaker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Eric Michaels | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.2 |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Curry | 35 | 10-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | +7.3 |
| J. Scovens | 33 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +1.4 |
| J. Rucker | 31 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +0.5 |
| I. Caldwell | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| AJ Allenspach | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | +9.4 |
| B. Barker | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +12.4 |
| T. Laczkowski | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.3 |
| J. Everson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| J. Holloway | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.2 |
| K. McCarthy | 6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +15.2 |
| K. Hailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter