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2025-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Phillips 44 5-9 3-4 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 13 14 -3.0
Luka Savicevic 42 5-11 4-8 1-2 7 4 1 0 1 15 15 -2.0
Ryan Pettit 40 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 9 5 -4.0
Caleb Williams 39 6-12 1-4 2-2 4 4 2 0 3 15 10 -4.0
Justin Vander Baan 37 6-16 0-2 1-4 4 4 0 1 4 13 2 -3.0
TJ Berger 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.1
Misha Bednostin 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.0
Folabomi Fayemi 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -0.0

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeAndre Williams 44 2-9 0-3 2-2 7 8 3 0 2 6 13 +4.0
Max Green 41 6-12 4-7 2-4 8 4 1 0 1 18 18 +0.0
Kahlil Singleton 33 6-12 4-9 3-3 3 2 0 0 1 19 11 +3.1
Jaiden Feroah 32 3-7 2-5 0-0 9 1 0 1 3 8 9 +3.1
Caleb Kenney 32 6-11 0-0 2-2 7 1 3 0 2 14 12 -0.3
Joe Nugent 31 3-10 3-7 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 2 +8.8
Gabe Warren 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0
Jaden Kirkwood 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0
Declan Ryan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 +5.0

* = starter