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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bascoe 36 4-12 0-2 0-0 4 8 0 0 3 8 5 +1.2
Achile Spadone 32 4-7 0-2 1-1 4 1 2 1 0 9 10 -2.5
Noah Williamson 29 8-13 4-7 4-4 8 1 0 0 4 24 16 -2.6
Elvin Edmonds IV 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 3 3 +3.4
Ruot Bijiek 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 7 9 -2.9
Brandon McCreesh 23 5-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 14 9 +11.2
Jayden Williams 19 1-5 0-1 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 4 4 +4.7
Pip Ajayi 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 +6.5
Josh Fulton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +1.9

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Chaikin 35 6-13 4-8 7-11 3 0 0 0 2 23 11 -7.3
Justin Vander Baan 33 3-7 0-1 4-6 5 3 1 3 1 10 14 +8.5
Andrew Phillips 32 0-5 0-2 3-4 6 1 3 0 1 3 7 +0.9
Ryan Pettit 27 2-5 1-4 2-3 4 2 1 0 1 7 8 -12.1
Caleb Williams 26 4-10 3-7 2-5 0 4 1 0 2 13 6 -12.8
Luka Savicevic 22 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 4 +15.4
TJ Berger 11 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 1 2 0 1 2 2 -3.5
Misha Bednostin 7 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -10.1
Mark Butler 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter