Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Stiemke | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -14.5 |
| Braeden Speed | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Milos Ilic | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -5.6 |
| Jacob Theodosiou | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -10.6 |
| Tyson Commander | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Veljko Ilic | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -15.5 |
| David Brown III | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -16.0 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Samuel Gibbs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Goap Kodi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Garrett Brennan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Matt Gray | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +11.2 |
| Lincoln Ball | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Matt Rogers | 28 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +20.6 |
| Greg Jones | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Colin Smalls | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +21.5 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 17 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +22.2 |
| Eric Michaels | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Mason Whittaker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Julen Iturbe | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Noah Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Samuels | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter